Want the scoop on hot races around the country? Get the digest emailed to you each weekday morning. Sign up here. Leading Off: ' FL-, OH-, VA-Sen: By now, you've likely seen NBC/Marist's trio of new swing state polls (unhelpfully released after 6pm on Thursday evening'hello, guys, news cycle!). Marist hasn't polled since May, so the trendlines are quite musty, but the numbers are quite positive for Democrats. In Florida, Dem Sen. Bill Nelson leads Connie Mack by a huge 51-37 margin, the largest margin ever in a public poll and the first time he's been over the 50% mark. Meanwhile, in Ohio, Dem Sen. Sherrod Brown has a 49-42 edge over Josh Mandel, in line with all other legitimate pollsters.
In Virginia, though, Democrat Tim Kaine and Republican George Allen are tied at 46, which actually represents a six-point drop for Kaine compared to Marist's last survey. However, Obama has a healthy 49-44 lead over Romney in the same poll, and it's hard to imagine that there are a lot of Obama-Allen voters out there, so I'd definitely rather be the Democrat in this instance. The other presidential numbers are even more brutal for Romney: He's also down 49-44 in must-win Florida and is getting crushed 50-43 in Ohio, where his chances have really seemed to slip away, hopefully permanently.
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