Relaxed. Because he's winning. Not a lot of states on our battleground list have updated since Monday when we last did a snapshot, but the two biggest ones on the list did, so it merited a new look. I also wanted to compare the state of the race today with where things stood exactly four years ago. McCain suspended his campaign on Sept. 24, 2008, and the polling was just starting to turn big-time against him, but his (polling) collapse wasn't fully apparent at this point four years ago.
Even then, and despite all the well-known problems Pres. Barack Obama and the country face, he now sports a bigger lead in the national polling than he did on Sept. 26, 2008. And while he trailed at this point in Florida, Nevada, North Carolina and Ohio, he leads all but the Tarheel state'and significantly so.
Michigan and Pennsylvania were still competitive at this point last cycle, and even New Mexico nominally so. Now, they're off this chart. Wisconsin is headed that direction, and after some prophylactic spending in the state last week, a confident Team Blue has gone off the air again.
On the other hand, Missouri and Indiana were in play four years ago, and that doesn't appear to be the case according to the data (would be nice to see more polling) and campaign spending decisions. And Obama leads in Colorado, Iowa and New Hampshire are smaller than they were last time around.
The big story, as I've harped on all year, is still Mitt Romney's unpopularity. Of the nine states left on this list, only one gives him 46 or better. He can't even crack 44 percent in Ohio. People don't like him, and they'll never like him.
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