Unfortunately, it looks like a couple of media outlets are painting slightly curious assessments of their own polling. And the common thread, as it happens, is to draw the common conclusion that the Obama bounce wasn't all that bouncy. In one case, it was a bit of a strange sense of timing. In the other, however, it was a criminal misuse of their own statistics.
On to the numbers:
PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:
NATIONAL (ABC/Washington Post): Obama d. Romney (49-48 LV; 50-44 RV)DOWNBALLOT POLLING:NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Obama d. Romney (50-44)
NATIONAL (Ipsos-Reuters Tracking): Obama d. Romney (46-43 LV; 45-39 RV)
NATIONAL (PPP for Daily Kos/SEIU): Obama d. Romney (50-44)
NATIONAL (Rasmussen Reports): Obama d. Romney (48-45)
ARIZONA (PPP for the League of Conservation Voters): Romney d. Obama (53-44)
FLORIDA (SurveyUSA): Obama d. Romney (48-44)
MINNESOTA (SurveyUSA): Obama d. Romney (50-40)
VIRGINIA (Gravis Marketing--R): Romney d. Obama (49-44)
AZ-SEN (PPP for the League of Conservation Voters): Jeff Flake (R) 44, Richard Carmona (D) 43A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump...FL-SEN (SurveyUSA): Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 47, Connie Mack IV (R) 36
OH-SEN (PPP): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 48, Josh Mandel (R) 40
VA-SEN (Gravis Marketing--R): George Allen (R) 48, Tim Kaine (D) 43
No comments:
Post a Comment