Friday, January 11, 2013

Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Virginia Sen. Mark Warner looks solid for re-election

Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest banner Want the scoop on hot races around the country? Get the digest emailed to you each weekday morning. Sign up here. Leading Off:

' VA-Sen: PPP now confirms what you already knew about freshman Dem Sen. Mark Warner: He's looking good for 2014. In fact, I'd even say "very good," seeing as his 52-31 job approval rating makes him the most popular politician in Virginia. And here's how Warner fares against the biggest Republican names, none of whom have actually expressed even the slightest interest in challenging him:

' 52-42 vs. Gov. Bob McDonnell

' 53-35 vs. Lt. Gov. Bill Bolling

' 56-37 vs. Rep. Eric Cantor

' 57-36 vs. AG Ken Cuccinelli

We should probably come up with a term for this, but the standard guess says that the GOP will have to rely on random rich guy or unknown state legislator, though I can't imagine them getting much traction either way. (Just imagine if Harris Miller had been the Democratic nominee in 2006 instead of Jim Webb.) After three straight Senate failures in a row in Virginia for Republicans, hopefully they'll just leave this one alone.

P.S. A couple of other tidbits: Newly elected Democratic Sen. Tim Kaine starts off with a 42-36 job approval rating (even though he'd been on the job all of one day when PPP went into the field!). President Obama's approvals are pretty hale, at 53-43'a good sign, given that he won here by only four points in November. Democrats also hold a four-point lead on the generic legislative ballot; all 100 seats in the state House are up for re-election this fall.

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