Thursday, February 14, 2013

Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Mary Landrieu looks suprisingly good for re-election, per PPP

Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest banner Want the scoop on hot races around the country? Get the digest emailed to you each weekday morning. Sign up here. Leading Off:

' LA-Sen: PPP's making their way through all the tough Senate seats Democrats have to hold next year, and now they're up to Louisiana, where Mary Landrieu is seeking a fourth term. Guess what? The news is remarkably good, much like it was in Alaska, another top GOP target. Indeed, Landrieu's job approval rating now stands at 47-45, which seems fairly remarkable given the sharp red turn her state has taken. And that's also a healthy recovery from August of 2010, when she had a lousy 41-53 score as Democrats were on their way to an absolute drubbing at the polls.

So speaking of the polls, how does Landrieu actually fare against some hypothetical candidates? (No Republicans have declared yet.) Turns out, she leads all of them, and pretty healthily, too. Note that the numbers in parentheses represent each potential opponent's favorability rating (or in the case of Jindal, job approval):

' 46-43 vs. Lt. Gov. Jay Dardenne (41-23)

' 48-42 vs. Rep. Charles Boustany (22-25)

' 49-41 vs. Gov. Bobby Jindal (37-57)

' 48-39 vs. ex-Rep. Jeff Landry (29-27)

' 48-38 vs. Rep. Steve Scalise (21-24)

' 50-40 vs. Rep. Bill Cassidy (19-24)

' 50-38 vs. Rep. John Fleming (20-21)

There are a few themes and observations worth pointing out here. First and most important is that Landrieu is very close to or just at 50 percent against all but one potential candidate, something that has to make her feel good. It'll be a dogfight to make sure she does in fact claw her way to 50%+1, no doubt about it, but I'll take these numbers.

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