Thursday, March 14, 2013

Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: How can Tom Corbett recover from numbers like this?

Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest banner Want the scoop on hot races around the country? Get the digest emailed to you each weekday morning. Sign up here. Leading Off:

' PA-Gov: I'm not too surprised that Quinnipiac's new Pennsylvania poll isn't as utterly dire for GOP Gov. Tom Corbett as PPP's survey from a day earlier was, but it is most definitely not good news. This is Quinnipiac's first time asking head-to-heads, so there are no trendlines, but Corbett's numbers actually look rather similar to what PPP found in January:

' 38-44 vs. Allentown Mayor Ed Pawlowski

' 39-42 vs. Rep. Allyson Schwartz

' 39-40 vs. state Sen. Mike Stack

' 39-39 vs. businessman Tom Wolf

' 40-39 vs. businessman Tom Knox

' 42-41 vs. ex-Sec. of Environmental Protection John Hanger

' 42-38 vs. Treasurer Rob McCord

While the numbers for each Democrat (all of whom are mostly unknown) vary a bit from PPP's older poll, note that Corbett's best performance is 42 percent'exactly where he topped out in that January survey. Now, PPP's new poll had Corbett failing to score higher than 34 percent (!), but as I said in the previous Digest, even if those numbers are outliers, Corbett's standing is still abysmal, and Quinnipiac's latest confirms that. Of course, as we say, things could always change, but let me just ask this: Is there anyone willing to put money down on Corbett turning things around? I think you'd have a hard time finding someone to take that side of the bet.

P.S. PPP has also released a batch of Pennsylvania miscellany; as is the case everywhere else, the Keystone State is way more receptive to gay marriage than it's ever been. A year-and-a-half ago, voters were opposed to the idea 36 to 52. Now it's just 45-47. Respondents are also against the GOP plan to change how the state allocates its electoral votes by a 44-38 spread.

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