Perhaps I shouldn't be surprised, given that we are coming off of a weekend and we are heading into a mere fortnight before the election. But today's polling load is simply insane, with a grand total of 97 polls in tonight's edition of the Wrap. And, yes, kids ... that is a new track record for the Wrap.
Going into tonight's final presidential debate, the data points to a simple conclusion. It is, for all intents and purposes, a tie. The national polling average from the polls over the weekend shifted back ever so slightly to Mitt Romney, but the most clear characteristic of those national polls is that they are all over the darned map.
At the swing state level, we did a five-poll analysis of those states last week. This week, the dynamic has changed a bit, but the actual preferences, basically, have not. Mitt Romney's path to 270 is there, but it is still not as easy as the president's path to reelection.
More on that after the jump. For now, though, on to the numbers, of which there are a load:
PRESIDENTIAL POLLING:
NATIONAL (ABC/WaPo Tracking): Obama 49, Romney 48DOWNBALLOT POLLING:NATIONAL (American Research Group): Romney 49, Obama 47
NATIONAL (CBS News): Obama 48, Romney 46
NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Romney 51, Obama 45 (LV); Romney 48, Obama 47 (RV)
NATIONAL (Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Democracy Corps): Obama 49, Romney 46
NATIONAL (GWU/Politico): Romney 49, Obama 47
NATIONAL (IBD/TIPP Tracking): Obama 47, Romney 43
NATIONAL (Ipsos/Reuters Tracking): Obama 46, Romney 46 (LV); Obama 45, Romney 42 (RV)
NATIONAL (Monmouth University): Romney 48, Obama 45
NATIONAL (NBC News/Wall Street Journal): Obama 47, Romney 47 (LV); Obama 49, Romney 44 (RV)
NATIONAL (PPP Tracking): Obama 48, Romney 48
NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney 49, Obama 47
NATIONAL (UPI/CVoter): Romney 48, Obama 47
NATIONAL (Zogby for the Washington Times): Obama 50, Romney 47
COLORADO (Rasmussen): Romney 50, Obama 46
FLORIDA (Angus Reid): Romney 51, Obama 46
FLORIDA (Grove Insight for Project New America--D): Obama 48, Romney 45
FLORIDA (PPP): Romney 48, Obama 47
FLORIDA (SurveyUSA): Obama 47, Romney 46
IOWA (PPP for HCAN): Obama 49, Romney 48
IOWA (Rasmussen): Obama 48, Romney 48
MARYLAND (Washington Post): Obama 60, Romney 36 (LV); Obama 60, Romney 35 (RV)
MASSACHUSETTS (Kimball Consulting--R): Obama 55, Romney 39
MICHIGAN (Angus Reid): Obama 52, Romney 43
MISSOURI (PPP): Romney 52, Obama 46
NEW HAMPSHIRE (Univ. of New Hampshire): Obama 51, Romney 42
NEW JERSEY (Stockton Polling Institute): Obama 53, Romney 38
NEW JERSEY (SurveyUSA): Obama 54, Romney 40
NORTH DAKOTA (Rasmussen): Romney 54, Obama 40
OHIO (Angus Reid): Obama 48, Romney 48
OHIO (Gravis--R): Obama 47, Romney 47
OHIO (PPP): Obama 49, Romney 48
OHIO (Pulse Opinion Research for Let Freedom Ring PAC--R): Romney 47, Obama 46
OHIO (Quinnipiac): Obama 50, Romney 45
OHIO (Suffolk University): Obama 47, Romney 47
PENNSYLVANIA (Angus Reid): Obama 52, Romney 42
PENNSYLVANIA (Muhlenberg College for the Allentown Morning Call): Obama 50, Romney 45
PENNSYLVANIA (Pulse Opinion Research for Let Freedom Ring PAC): Obama 48, Romney 44
PENNSYLVANIA (Gravis--R): Obama 48, Romney 45
VIRGINIA (PPP for HCAN): Obama 49, Romney 47
VIRGINIA (Pulse Opinion Research for Let Freedom Ring PAC--R): Obama 47, Romney 46
VIRGINIA (Wenzel Strategies for Citizens United): Romney 49, Obama 47
WASHINGTON (Strategies 360): Obama 52, Romney 39
WISCONSIN (Angus Reid): Obama 51, Romney 46
WISCONSIN (Grove Insight for Project New America): Obama 47, Romney 44
WISCONSIN (Pulse Opinion Research for Let Freedom Ring PAC--R): Obama 50, Romney 47
FL-SEN (Angus Reid): Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 56, Connie Mack IV (R) 39A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump ...FL-SEN (Rasmussen): Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 48, Connie Mack IV (R) 43
FL-SEN (SurveyUSA): Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 48, Connie Mack IV (R) 40
MD-SEN (Washington Post): Sen. Ben Cardin (D) 53, Dan Bongino (R) 22, Rob Sobhani (I) 14
MA-SEN (Kimball Consulting--R): Elizabeth Warren (D) 48, Sen. Scott Brown (R) 46
MI-SEN (Angus Reid): Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D) 59, Pete Hoesktra (R) 39
MO-SEN (PPP): Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) 46, Todd Akin (R) 40, Jonathan Dine (L) 6
NJ-SEN (Stockton Polling Institute): Sen. Robert Menendez (D) 52, Joe Kyrillos (R) 30
NJ-SEN (SurveyUSA): Sen. Robert Menendez (D) 53, Joe Kyrillos (R) 33
ND-SEN (Essman/Research): Rick Berg (R) 50, Heidi Heitkamp (D) 40
ND-SEN (Mellman Group for the Heitkamp campaign): Heidi Heitkamp (D) 45, Rick Berg (R) 42
OH-SEN (Angus Reid): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 52, Josh Mandel (R) 45
OH-SEN (PPP): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 49, Josh Mandel (R) 44
OH-SEN (Public Opinion Strategies for the Mandel campaign): Josh Mandel (R) 44, Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 43
OH-SEN (Pulse Opinion Research for Let Freedom Ring PAC--R): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 47, Josh Mandel (R) 41
OH-SEN (Quinnipiac): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 51, Josh Mandel (R) 42
OH-SEN (Suffolk University): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 46, Josh Mandel (R) 39, Scott Rupert (I) 6
PA-SEN (Angus Reid): Sen. Bob Casey (D) 51, Tom Smith (R) 45
PA-SEN (Muhlenberg College for the Allentown Morning Call): Sen. Bob Casey (D) 45, Tom Smith (R) 37
PA-SEN (Pulse Opinion Research for Let Freedom Ring PAC): Sen. Bob Casey (D) 47, Tom Smith (R) 46
RI-SEN (McLaughlin and Associates for the Peoples Majority PAC--R): Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D) 49, Barry Hinckley (R) 41
VA-SEN (Garin-Hart-Yang for the DSCC): Tim Kaine (D) 48, George Allen (R) 44
VA-SEN (Pulse Opinion Research for Let Freedom Ring PAC--R): Tim Kaine (D) 46, George Allen (R) 44
VA-SEN (Rasmussen): Tim Kaine (D) 49, George Allen (R) 48
VA-SEN (Wenzel Strategies for Citizens United--R): George Allen (R) 49, Tim Kaine (D) 46
WA-SEN (Rasmussen): Sen. Maria Cantwell (D) 52, Michael Baumgartner (R) 37
WI-SEN (Angus Reid): Tammy Baldwin (D) 50, Tommy Thompson (R) 47
WI-SEN (Feldman Group for the Baldwin campaign): Tammy Baldwin (D) 49, Tommy Thompson (R) 44
WI-SEN (Pulse Opinion Research for Let Freedom Ring PAC--R): Tammy Baldwin (D) 47, Tommy Thompson (R) 46
WI-SEN (Rasmussen): Tommy Thompson (R) 48, Tammy Baldwin (D) 46
MO-GOV (PPP): Gov. Jay Nixon (D) 51, Dave Spence (R) 40
NC-GOV (Rasmussen): Pat McCrory (R) 53, Walter Dalton (D) 42
WA-GOV (Strategies 360): Jay Inslee (D) 46, Rob McKenna (R) 46
CA-21 (FM3 for the Hernandez campaign): David Valadao (R) 41, John Hernandez (D) 37
CA-52 (Internal poll for the Bilbray campaign): Rep. Brian Bilbray (R) 48, Scott Peters (D) 44
CA-52 (San Diego Union Tribune): Rep. Brian Bilbray (R) 47, Scott Peters (D) 38
FL-02 (St. Pete Polls): Rep. Steve Southerland (R) 46, Al Lawson (D) 46
FL-09 (St. Pete Polls): Alan Grayson (D) 49, Todd Long (R) 32
FL-10 (St. Pete Polls): Rep. Dan Webster (R) 47, Val Demings (D) 42
FL-18 (St. Pete Polls): Rep. Allen West (R) 50, Patrick Murphy (D) 41
FL-22 (St. Pete Polls): Lois Frankel (D) 49, Adam Hasner (R) 42
FL-26 (St. Pete Polls): Rep. David Rivera (R) 46, Joe Garcia (D) 42, Others 4
IL-02 (We Ask America--R): Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. (D) 58, Brian Woodworth (R) 27, Marcus Lucas (I) 15
IL-11 (Garin-Hart-Yang for the House Majority PAC): Bill Foster (D) 49, Rep. Judy Biggert (R) 45
IL-17 (GBA Strategies for the Bustos campaign): Cheri Bustos (D) 49, Rep. Bobby Schilling (R) 45
MI-03 (Glengariff Group for the Detroit News): Steven Pestka (D) 35, Rep. Justin Amash (R) 34
MN-06 (Pulse Opinion Research for the Minneapolis Star-Tribune): Rep. Michele Bachmann (R) 51, Jim Graves (D) 45
MN-08 (Pulse Opinion Research for the Minneapolis Star-Tribune): Rick Nolan (D) 50, Rep. Chip Cravaack (R) 43
NH-01 (Global Strategy Group for the Shea-Porter campaign): Carol Shea-Porter (D) 46, Rep. Frank Guinta (R) 43, Brendan Kelly (L) 6
NY-06 (McLaughlin and Associates for the Halloran campaign): Grace Meng (D) 36, Dan Halloran (R) 33
NY-24 (Lake Research for the Friends of Democracy): Dan Maffei (D) 46, Rep. Ann Marie Buerkle (R) 44, Ursula Rozum (G) 6
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