Wednesday, August 22, 2012

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Will Todd Akin stall a semi-legitimate Republican surge?

The Griswold Singiser Family road trip is finally in the books, and that means it is time to crank up that data machine yet again.

Mitt Romney got several polls in key states over the past two days that looked, quite frankly, too good to be true in some cases. But any buoyant celebration has to be stunted by the fact that all of those good polls were B.A. (Before Akin).

The same could be said for a raft of Senate polls, to say nothing of GOP internal polls in House races over the past couple of days, all of which looked, on balance, really good for the GOP.

As for Akin himself, the polling picture for the GOP standard-bearer (snicker, snicker) in Missouri is infinitely more complicated.

And, with that, on to the numbers:

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Romney d. Obama (47-45)

NATIONAL (NBC/Wall Street Journal): Obama d. Romney (48-44)

NATIONAL (PPP for Daily Kos/SEIU): Obama d. Romney (49-45)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney d. Obama (45-44)

NATIONAL (SurveyUSA/Braun for Monmouth University): Obama d. Romney (45-41)

FLORIDA (Foster McCollum White/Baydoun): Romney d. Obama (54-40)

MICHIGAN (Foster McCollum White/Baydoun): Romney d. Obama (48-44)

NEW YORK (Siena College): Obama d. Romney (62-33)

OKLAHOMA (Sooner Poll): Romney d. Obama (58-29)

VIRGINIA (PPP): Obama d. Romney (50-45); Obama d. Romney and Virgil Goode (50-42-4)

WISCONSIN (PPP): Romney d. Obama (48-47)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:
CA-41 (EMC Research for Takano): Mark Takano (D) 42, John Tavaglione (R) 38

CO-07 (OnMessage for the Coors campaign): Joseph Coors (R) 45, Rep. Ed Perlmutter (D) 36

FL-SEN (Foster McCollum White/Baydoun): Connie Mack IV (R) 51, Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 43

IL-17 (Public Opinion Strategies for the Schilling campaign): Rep. Bobby Schilling (R) 50, Cheri Bustos (D) 37

MA-SEN (PPP): Sen. Scott Brown (R) 49, Elizabeth Warren (D) 44

MI-SEN (Foster McCollum White/Baydoun): Pete Hoekstra (R) 48, Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D) 46

MO-SEN (PPP): Todd Akin (R) 44, Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) 43

MT-SEN (Rasmussen): Denny Rehberg (R) 47, Sen. Jon Tester (D) 43

NV-04 (Public Opinion Strategies for The American Action Network): Danny Tarkanian (R) 46, Steven Horsford (D) 35

NY-SEN (Siena College): Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 65, Wendy Long (R) 22

NY-27 (Siena College): Chris Collins (R) 47, Rep. Kathy Hochul (D) 45

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump...


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